I wouldn't call this premier weak, per se, it is just maybe because that it is following Survivor: Cambodia and it can be really hard to follow a season like that, and I thought it was better than the WA premier, as there's not as many crazy people, and I just get the impression that we just can't get a real first impression of what the season will eventually be like based off of just one episode. After all, I didn't know San Juan del Sur would be the best season ever after one episode.
Also, it was better than the Cagayan premier. That one almost made me say goodbye to Survivor for good.
Jason gets more of a Tony vibe as opposed to Scot, and if there is more shown of Jason talking about his autistic daughter and even more of him talking about being a bounty hunter, I'd bet money that he's the winner. He's got plenty of the signs.